What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
6
150Ṁ172Nov 4
3%
< 30 %
5%
≥ 30 – < 40 %
15%
≥ 40 – < 45 %
19%
≥ 45 – < 50 %
50%
≥ 50 – < 60 %
9%
≥ 60 %
This market resolves to Zohran Mamdani’s official certified percentage of the vote in the New York City mayoral general election on November 4, 2025, as reported by the NYC Board of Elections.
Vote YES to the bucket matching his certified vote share, and NO to all others.
If Mamdani is not on the ballot, the market resolves N/A.
—
Resolution is based only on certified results, not exit polls or projections.
If recounts or delays occur, resolution waits for official certification.
Expected resolution: December 2025.
—
Related markets welcome in the comments! Please share them using the embed code.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Eric Adams Abandons Re-election Bid for Mayor of New York City - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/nyregion/adams-mayor-drops-out.html
People are also trading
Related questions
If the New York City mayoral election is between Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, who will win?
Who will win the NYC mayoral general election?
Who will win the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral election?
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
70% chance
Which People Will Endorse Zohran Mamdani for NYC Mayor
Who will come in second place in the 2025 New York mayoral election?
Who will win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
Will Zohran Mamdani receive a majority of the votes cast in the November NYC mayoral election?
66% chance
Zohran wins NYC Mayor Election given
Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?
64% chance