What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?

150Ṁ3945

Dec 1

< 30 %

≥ 30 – < 40 %

0.5%

≥ 40 – < 45 %

0.6%

≥ 45 – < 50 %

98.5%

≥ 50 – < 60 %

0.3%

≥ 60 %

This market resolves to Zohran Mamdani’s official certified percentage of the vote in the New York City mayoral general election on November 4, 2025, as reported by the NYC Board of Elections.

Vote YES to the bucket matching his certified vote share, and NO to all others.

If Mamdani is not on the ballot, the market resolves N/A.

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Resolution is based only on certified results, not exit polls or projections.

If recounts or delays occur, resolution waits for official certification.

Expected resolution: December 2025.

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@traders (unless anyone has a reason to keep it open for longer) this market is closing in one hour.

Right now, with ~90% of votes counted, AP estimates Mamdani has just over 50% of the vote:

(I will wait for official results before resolving.)

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 3% order

@yeeta I left some orders to trade crumbs

if u wanna close its fine tho

@HenriConfucius I would be fine with keeping it open .. let’s see if anyone has objections to that or also wants that .. I’m only closing because this was the original close date

@HenriConfucius on account of it being extremely close to call with one supporting and none opposing an extension, I’ve moved the close date to tomorrow at midnight.