Will Donald Trump by the end of 2023
xyz avatar
Yoav
12
closes Dec 31
10%
chance

Resolves YES if I find strong evidence that Donald Trump has played a trump in a game of bridge before the end of the year. Otherwise resolves NO.

(Doesn't count any instances of Donald Trumping before market creation.)

Inspired by /IsaacKing/will-tom-cruise-by-the-end-of-2023

Entertainment and Pop Culture
Donald Trump
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xyz avatar
Yoav

Trump winning changed bridge players' behavior: https://www.statnews.com/2016/06/24/trumps-bridge-games-biomedical-studies/

Trump’s success ‘deranges’ bridge players, shedding light on biomedical studies
Trump’s success ‘deranges’ bridge players, shedding light on biomedical studies
The researchers are respected statisticians. The meeting where they presented the discovery is legitimate. The “no trump effect” is bogus.
Fion avatar
Fion

Does farting count? That's what "trump" means where I'm from.

xyz avatar
Yoav

@Fion No

xyz avatar
Yoav

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