Will Tom Cruise by the end of 2023?
closes 2024

Resolves YES if I find strong evidence that Tom Cruise has gone on a cruise before the end of the year. Otherwise resolves NO.

(Doesn't count any instances of Tom Cruising before market creation.)

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xyz avatar

He went on a cruise in his own yacht back in 2021

StrayClimb avatar

Britney Spears (spearfishing)

Megan Foxes (goes fox hunting)

Bill Gates (gates access to the files of microsoft)

Donald Trumps (plays a professional bridge competition)

Ben Affleckted



Tom Bradys

Sinclair avatar
Sinclair Chen

Brad Pit (people against each other)
Jodie Foster (children)
Emma Stone (sinners)
Orlando Bloom
Dakota Fanning

xyz avatar
taco avatar

what if he cruises for gay sex

IsaacKing avatar

@taco No.

DavidMathers avatar
David Mathersis predicting NO at 18%

Does it count if he goes on a trip on his own/some other famous person's private yacht?

IsaacKing avatar

@DavidMathers Oh, hmm. As per the title I'd say yes, but as per the description I'd say no. I failed to consider the difference between the verb "to cruise" and the much more restrictive noun "a cruise".

The title is obviously the primary purpose of this market, so I feel like I should edit the description to match it, but that would likely increase the probability a bit and seems unfair to NO traders.

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