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Will China bomb any country by the end of 2026?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ205
Dec 31
15%
chance

For the purposes of this question, Taiwan counts as another country.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the People's Republic of China (PRC) conducts a bombing campaign resulting in explosive ordnance being used inside the territory of any sovereign nation, including Taiwan. The determination will be based on credible reports from reputable news organizations such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or official government statements confirming such an event. If no such bombing occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Market context
Politics
Wars
China
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bought Ṁ5 NO

nothing ever happens

bought Ṁ5 NO

They might bomb you for that description

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