Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Plus
17
Ṁ3812031
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if someone boards a SpaceX rocket, a launch is attempted, and they do not land alive.
Market will resolve to YES as soon as a death happens or to NO on December 31, 2030
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
28% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
49% chance
SpaceX kills a human in a rocket by 2035
40% chance
Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
66% chance
Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?
34% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
48% chance
Will a human die in space by 2035?
75% chance
Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?
46% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance