Will someone die in outer space before 2030?
8
100Ṁ150
2029
19%
chance

Only three spaceflight fatalities have occurred in outer space proper (defined as the Kármán line), all Soviet astronauts in the same incident on 30 June 1971 due to a faulty exhaust valve releasing a crew capsule's air, causing asphyxiation.

This question resolves YES if someone dies above the Kármán line (the conventional boundary for outer space) before 2030. Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2030.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules