MANIFOLD
Will someone die in outer space before 2030?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ192
2029
33%
chance

Only three spaceflight fatalities have occurred in outer space proper (defined as the Kármán line), all Soviet astronauts in the same incident on 30 June 1971 due to a faulty exhaust valve releasing a crew capsule's air, causing asphyxiation.

This question resolves YES if someone dies above the Kármán line (the conventional boundary for outer space) before 2030. Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2030.

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