Will roon leave OpenAI before June 28th 2024?
Will roon leave OpenAI before June 28th 2024?
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1kṀ7728resolved Jun 30
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Resolves YES if roon (@tszzl on twitter) ceases to be employed by OpenAI before the close date. NO otherwise.
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hmm poasting I thought Altman Intelligence Ventures was a done deal but I guess not? https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-sam-altman-be-a-cofounder-of-a
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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