
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
66
1kṀ8368Jul 2
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment. I am open to argument.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Would any of these count as "dissolving":
- The non-profit dissolves and OpenAI becomes a normal for-profit
- OpenAI changes it's name but remains basically the same
- The US government takes control of OpenAI, but the company is still basically doing similar things
- OpenAI merges with a much bigger company
- OpenAI merges with a much smaller company
- OpenAI leadership and most employees leave but the company still exists (a la Inflection)
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI undergo a down round before the year 2025?
2% chance
What will happen to OpenAI next year?
Will OpenAI abandon their non-profit structure by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will OpenAI IPO by 2040?
30% chance
Will OpenAI be acquired by another company the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will the for-profit arm of OpenAI be shut down or otherwise separated from the non-profit arm before 01/01/2026?
44% chance
Will OpenAI have a new name by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will OpenAI's undergo significant restructuring by 2025?
9% chance
Will OpenAI pause capabilities R&D voluntarily before 2027?
16% chance