Will a fully autonomous vehicle (Level 5) be commercially available to consumers by 2030? | Manifold

Will a fully autonomous vehicle (Level 5) be commercially available to consumers by 2030?

11

100Ṁ422

2029

57%

chance

1H

6H

1D

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1M

ALL

Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirms the market resolves YES if a Level 5 autonomous vehicle is commercially available to consumers under these conditions:
- It can be in any region globally.
- It can be of any sort of vehicle (e.g., passenger, freight, or other types), provided it is commercially available to consumers.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

@vonneumann by my reading, this could be in any region. That is, if the UAE allows sale and fully autonomous operation of any sort of vehicle (passenger, freight, whatever) to consumers, then it resolves yes.

Sound right?

@DanHomerick sounds right!

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