Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?
18
closes 2030
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ12 +23%
New probability
81%
In the [original post](https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things) Gary Marcus bets that <3 will resolve to YES. Will he lose his bet?
This market resolves YES if I believe he lost, i.e. I resolve at least three of the other markets to YES, not if Gary Marcus admits he lost.
Links to the other markets:
https://manifold.markets/vluzko/by-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-watc
https://manifold.markets/vluzko/by-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-read
https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-work
https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-cons
https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-take
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