Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?

closes 2030

81%

chance

ALL

In the [original post](https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things) Gary Marcus bets that <3 will resolve to YES. Will he lose his bet?

This market resolves YES if I believe he lost, i.e. I resolve at least three of the other markets to YES, not if Gary Marcus admits he lost.

Links to the other markets:

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Comments

18 Positions

122 Trades

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 81% (cancelled) 🤖

𝐒𝕙𝕒𝕕𝕠𝕨𝕪𝐙𝕖𝕡𝕙𝕪𝕣 bought Ṁ70 YES from 78% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ100 YES at 78% (cancelled) 🤖

ShadowyZephyr2 sold Ṁ82 YES from 81% to 76%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 81% (cancelled) 🤖

ShadowyZephyr2 bought Ṁ85 YES from 79% to 83%

Franklin Baldo bought Ṁ10 YES from 78% to 79%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ37 YES at 78% (cancelled) 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ68/Ṁ100 YES at 76% (cancelled) 🤖

Arthur Wright bought Ṁ50 NO from 82% to 69%

SYMH bought Ṁ2 NO from 83% to 82%

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ5 YES from 82% to 83%

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ20 YES from 81% to 82%

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

Valery Cherepanov sold Ṁ8 NO from 78% to 81%

Nathan bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Franklin Baldo bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

Franklin Baldo bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

Nikola bought Ṁ10 YES from 75% to 76%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 YES at 75% (cancelled)

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ10 NO from 77% to 73%

Valery Cherepanov sold Ṁ9 YES from 78% to 77%

VelocityBot sold Ṁ2 NO at 78%

Victor Levoso bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

VelocityBot filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ1 NO at 77% (cancelled)

Victor Levoso bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 76% (cancelled)

VelocityBot filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ2 NO at 76% (cancelled)

cos created limit order for Ṁ23 YES at 68%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ12 NO at 83%

cos created limit order for Ṁ46 YES at 63%

cos filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ7 NO at 78%

Stephen Malina bought Ṁ25 NO from 86% to 76%

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 86% (cancelled)

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