Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?

18

closes 2030

81%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ12 +23%

New probability

81%

In the [original post](https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things) Gary Marcus bets that <3 will resolve to YES. Will he lose his bet?

This market resolves YES if *I* believe he lost, i.e. I resolve at least three of the other markets to YES, not if Gary Marcus admits he lost.

Links to the other markets:

https://manifold.markets/vluzko/by-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-watc

https://manifold.markets/vluzko/by-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-read

https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-work

https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-cons

https://manifold.markets/vluzko/in-2029-will-any-ai-be-able-to-take

Get Ṁ500 play money

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