Will any transfer learning model, trained for any amount of time on one Atari environment, outperform the median human learning curve on most other Atari environments when transferred by 2026? | Manifold

Will any transfer learning model, trained for any amount of time on one Atari environment, outperform the median human learning curve on most other Atari environments when transferred by 2026?

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7

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2026

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

- Median human learning curve will be based on whatever the best available data for the human learning curve at the time is. If there is no good data available the question resolves N/A

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Any idea what the current performance is here?

@StephenMalina Essentially nonexistent. There are scattered attempts at transferring between a few games. AFAIK no one has made any notable progress and no one has tried transferring across all games.

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