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MANIFOLD
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ20
2027
41%
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This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.

It will resolve N/A if METR announces the end of time horizons or stops doing them.

n/a if they don’t release a task that long

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do they have a task that takes that long?

@ian Well, I don't think so at the moment. Do you think this is still a good question, or should we just scrap this for now

@Blocksterpen3 oh it’s finr, i guess you might just want to handle that case in the description. like n/a if they don’t release a task that long or sth