Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?
26
1kแน€1429
2027
31%
chance

A new startup claims they are trying. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/04/ai-startup-prophetic-aims-to-build-headset-that-lets-you-control-dreams.html.

They claim their prototype will be ready in a year or so.

This resolves to YES if by January 1, 2027 there is a publically available technological device, or publically available access to such a device, that allows 25% or more of those who use it to experience substantial amounts of lucid dreaming they would not otherwise experience. This need not be from any entity related to Prophetic.

If that does not happen, this resolves NO.

(If this market draws a lot of interest, I will take suggestions on how to make the resolution criteria more precise, but I expect the answer to almost always be obvious at resolution time. Intent should be clear. I will not trade on this market until I am ready to resolve it.)

Standard 'it's over early' cluase that I use - if this consistenly stays at <5% or >95% for at least two weeks straight in a way that clearly indicates the answer is known, I will resolve the market early to YES or NO.

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