Transgender US passport holders allowed correct sex designations when?
4
300Ṁ629
2034
September 19, 2027
13%
Before June 21, 2025
32%
Before July 1, 2025
42%
Before August 1, 2025
47%
Before September 1, 2025
53%
Before October 1, 2025
55%
Before November 1, 2025
56%
Before January 1, 2026
58%
Before January 20, 2029
85%
Before January 1, 2033
91%
Before January 20, 2037

To resolve YES, it must be true that all US citizens that can get a passport will be able to choose a sex designation solely and unconditionally based on their gender identity to be printed on their passport, OR for there to be no sex or gender designation at all on the passport. The date resolves to when citizens receive such US passports, not simply when they apply, as that would allow for retroactive changes.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Passports/s/4wHop3Fcx4

Will wait until I get proof the passports are received

bought Ṁ25 YES

also manifold is stupid by using the mean rather than the median date-probability-thing

manifold would NOT let me create this

it kept telling me "answer ranges are not unique" "answer ranges were not in ascending order" even though they WERE UNIQUE AND IN ASCENDING ORDER

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy