MANIFOLD
Transgender US passport holders allowed correct sex designations when?
4
Ṁ300Ṁ3.2k
resolved Dec 21
Resolved
July 16, 2025
Resolved
NO
Before June 7, 2025
Resolved
NO
Before June 14, 2025
Resolved
NO
Before June 21, 2025
Resolved
NO
Before July 1, 2025
Resolved
YES
Before August 1, 2025
Resolved
YES
Before September 1, 2025
Resolved
YES
Before October 1, 2025
Resolved
YES
Before November 1, 2025
Resolved
YES
Before January 1, 2026
Resolved
YES
Before January 20, 2029
Resolved
YES
Before January 1, 2033
Resolved
YES
Before January 20, 2037

To resolve YES, it must be true that all US citizens that can get a passport will be able to choose a sex designation solely and unconditionally based on their gender identity to be printed on their passport, OR for there to be no sex or gender designation at all on the passport. The date resolves to when citizens receive such US passports, not simply when they apply, as that would allow for retroactive changes.

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https://www.reddit.com/r/Passports/s/4wHop3Fcx4

Will wait until I get proof the passports are received

bought Ṁ25 YES

also manifold is stupid by using the mean rather than the median date-probability-thing

manifold would NOT let me create this

it kept telling me "answer ranges are not unique" "answer ranges were not in ascending order" even though they WERE UNIQUE AND IN ASCENDING ORDER

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