Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada?
24
1kṀ11k
2026
95%
chance

  • Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

    • Timeframe: Mark Carney must become Prime Minister of Canada prior to December 31, 2025 for the outcome to count.

    • Implication: Outcomes occurring after this date will not satisfy the criteria.

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opened a Ṁ50 YES at 70% order

Curious what the YES bettors are expecting here. Do you think Liberals will win the upcoming election, or do you think there will be some kind of political drama that results in another election or a hung parliament or something?

@Fion isn't trudeau resigning before the election??? so mark carney would become PM regardless of the election outcome?

sold Ṁ166 NO

@SaviorofPlant oh shit, really? 😅

@Fion Liberals are expected to announce their new leader on March 9th! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Liberal_Party_of_Canada_leadership_election

Edit to add - Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada prior to close date of Dec 31, 2025?

bought Ṁ500 NO

Assuming you mean by close date.

@Riley12 yes by close date

Ever? Or as a result of the upcoming election? Or by the close date?

@Fion by close date

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