Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ132Dec 31
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See information and history in the bet for 2025:
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025? | Manifold
When things change I'll add the news.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
22% chance
Will Chris Olah publish a textbook before 2027?
17% chance
Sam Altman publishes a book by mid 2028
45% chance
Will there be another Charlie Kaufman novel before 2028?
64% chance
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
11% chance
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
30% chance
Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 2031
47% chance
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
23% chance
What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?