Will Chris Olah publish a textbook before 2027?
3
100Ṁ962027
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Presumably the subject would be mech interp. He must be a primary author.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
69% chance
Will an "AI Safety Textbook" be available before the end of 2024?
46% chance
Will greater than one "AI Safety Textbook" be released before the end of 2024?
23% chance
Will someone write the book "Paul Christiano and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
50% chance
Will Curtis Yarvin publish a new book by the end of 2025?
63% chance
Will Joe Biden publish an autobiography by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will Luigi Mangione publish a book before 2030?
78% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
32% chance
Will David Deutsch write a Textbook on Quantum Physics before he dies?
76% chance
Will George Santos publish a book in 2024?
3% chance