Resolves to YES if I am an active user at least once in the first week of 2024 (place a bet, actively sell a position, ask a question). Resolves to NO otherwise. I won't bet in this market.

I'm trying out a vaguely meta market. I've been using this platform for two days. Here are my impressions so far:

• I'm having some fun. I made some easy mana by finding a news report resolving an open market to YES and betting accordingly.

• The platform is really nicely designed and easy to use.

• Few markets I've bet on have resolved yet but my sense is there's quite a bit of misalignment in the markets that could be exploited. I'm having fantasies of cutting my teeth here and then moving to a money market elsewhere and cleaning up (expect (80%?) to eat my words on this but w/e).

• I'd enjoy the platform a lot more if there were at least 10x as many active users.

• AI is of course important but I find the preponderance of questions of the form "will AI be able to do X by 2024/5/6/&c." a bit boring. It's not that I don't think there should be markets on these things, but they account for such a large proportion of markets.

• Similarly, I find markets about manifold and manifold's user's behaviour a natural thing to think about but find it regrettable that they're so prevalent

• I find Rationalist writing intriguing and infuriating and the fan-clubby aspects of the experience a bit offputting.

• I find the various meme markets tiresome

• I really just wanted to find somethning to use my last free market on that might get a bit more engagement than my other two boring markets. I'm aware this is a kind of market I said I wasn't very interested in.