Will Tetraspace have published a research paper on AI alignment by March 1, 2025?
14
52
280
2025
48%
chance

Resolves YES if, by the deadline, there is a research paper on AI alignment by the author Tetraspace West – or however she prefers to spell her name, it might be Tetra Jones or whatever. If I’m in doubt that an author of a paper is Tetraspace West, I will consult @TetraspaceWest on Twitter to confirm or deny it.

The market resolves YES if a peer-reviewed paper comes out from Tetraspace. It also resolves YES if something from Tetraspace is posted to ArXiv or to another open platform that looks reasonably like a research paper – I will make this judgment call. If there’s a written work which I find doubtful whether it’s an AI alignment research paper, I will consult someone knowledgeable about AI alignment research to be sure.

If there seems to be no such paper at the deadline, the market resolves NO.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

Did I miss anything? The only thing I've seen is https://twitter.com/TetraspaceWest/status/1765072132726530365#m.

@NiplavYushtun Well, see this for one thing

https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-tetraspace-quit-her-job-to-wor

also lurk moar, rtfm, skill issue, etc

More related questions