Will the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway collapse before 2030?
10
1kṀ12582030
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any active, open section of roadway on Interstate 278 experiences a spontaneous structural failure rendering that section (at least temporarily) unusable by the end of 2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/04/nyregion/bqe-trucks-sensors-traffic.html overweight trucks down 60% thanks to weight sensors sending fines, that'll probably buy us another three months
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Internet Roadtrip pass through NYC by the end of 2026?
50% chance
Will NYC Port Authority's new $10B Midtown bus terminal be open by EOY 2032?
28% chance
Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?
80% chance
Will China collapse before 2030
10% chance
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of Halloween 2026?
24% chance
Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
3% chance
Will a road crossing the Darien Gap have finished construction by 2050?
42% chance
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
34% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
11% chance
NYC-LA Vactrain by 2070?
41% chance