What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.8kṀ2.6k

2027

82%

An overload trip mechanism was activated on the ship

42%

Ship ran propeller in reverse before colliding with bridge

23%

A person on the ship at the time of the collision will be convicted of assault against another person on the ship.

22%

Ship sounded its horn at least once between the first power loss and the collision

19%

Ship switched from one primary fuel source to another between leaving and colliding with bridge

18%

At least one member of the road crew working on the bridge received a warning about the ship via phone/radio before the collision

17%

Between the ship undocking and the collision, a person on the ship sustained a physical injury serious enough to prevent them from doing their job

14%

A part of the ship other than the anchor fell off between leaving and the collision

14%

Ship had bad fuel

14%

Ship rudder was not disabled during power loss event.

Ship operators were on drugs

A person was trespassing on the ship at the time of the collision

The loss of power was caused by a cooling water blockage

Container Ship was victim of cyber attack

Resolved

YES

Ship dropped anchor before colliding with the bridge

Resolved

YES

An emergency generator was activated on the ship before the collision

Francis Scott Key Bridge Disaster

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filled a Ṁ25 NO at 20% order

@Yoae Could you resolve the ship-horn answer NO? NTSB's Nautical Operations Factual Report, printed page 71, section N.1.1, records that the Dali crew and pilots did not use the ship's whistle because no other vessels were in view. The sounding mentioned on page 72 was a subsequent May 2024 test, not during the collision.

Official report: https://data.ntsb.gov/Docket/Document/docBLOB?FileExtension=pdf&FileName=Dali+-+DCA24MM031+-+Nautical+Operations+-+Factual+Report+-+FINAL-Rel.pdf&ID=19280064

Disclosure: I hold NO in the horn answer, bought for M25.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68670567

Emergency generator was activated before collision

Unfortunately, I believe it will be difficult to establish facts about this incident. There is missing data from the MV Dali's black box. I will keep investigating and close these out as reliable info becomes available.

@Yoae I don’t think you should feel too much pressure to resolve these quickly. There will be official reports coming out in the coming weeks and months, and I don’t see any harm in keeping many of these open until verified by a credible source, for example the coast guard or NTSB investigations.

It's too late for me to edit it now, but in the "overload trip mechanism" option, I meant to refer to an "over SPEED trip mechanism", as described here.

Hope you don't mind me adding all the options, @Yoae - I'm also not seeing the option to resolve them (not to say that I'd resolve any at this time, just to say that I think you're the only person with power to resolve) so I hope I'm writing these clearly enough that you'll be able to settle them at close.

@Jwags I closed out one possibility. It is hard to verify anything about this incident so far. If you have any reliable sources with answers, please let me know.