Will bots make free, open social media infeasible by the end of 2027?
9
190Ṁ173
2027
35%
chance

Background

Up until around now, you could just e.g. create a free anonymous reddit/twitter account with minimal verification, and start participating in various random internet social circles.

However, in my experience spam has become a worse and worse problem, and it seems like there is no end in sight with what the bots will do.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if none of the biggest social media platforms allow you to participate as a first-class citizen unless you do something significantly more invasive than a simple email verification.

(If they only allow email verification for addresses that have already been vetted to be non-spam, then the market resolves YES. You either need to be able to verify with an arbitrary email you control, or their regulations for the email have to be so loose that you can easily sign up, before it can resolve NO.)

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