Will there be a Chinese AI better than OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic by the end of 2024?
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25
Ṁ5582
resolved Oct 16
Resolved
YES

Resolves to the exact same as the Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/chinatopllm/china-top-llm

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what?

@FergusArgyll this market resolved based off the kalshi one, and they counted it

@strutheo ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Does anyone know what lead to this being resolved? What Chinesemodel was better than what US model?

Edit: Nvm, clicked around some of the related markets and it's that Yi is better than the best Anthropic model

sold Ṁ59 NO

Ambiguity around "by the end of" is the bane of my manifold profits :(

bought Ṁ150 YES

@strutheo Kalshi's description matches this market, which already resolved to YES: https://manifold.markets/Ledger/will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll#

@AlessandroVeneri the kalshi market did not resolve though

@strutheo kalshi is resolved now

@strutheo Apologies, didn’t think this market was replicating Kalshi’s

who dare smash into my limit order?

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