Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
33
1kṀ22k2029
79%
chance
6
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.
Will also resolve YES if a joint-partner with NASA or another space agency.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the first human landing on Mars take place before the next human landing on the Moon?
3% chance
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2041
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
62% chance
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
35% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before a human returns to the Moon?
8% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2026?
2% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* before Dec 31st 2028?
41% chance
Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?
14% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2026?
2% chance