MANIFOLD
Will someone reach 2900 FIDE chess rating before Manifold reaches 2900 engaged users?
4
Ṁ130Ṁ150
2030
8%
chance
Market context
Prices
Competitive Gaming
Gaming
Manifold
Chess
Manifold Users
Manifold Business Future
Board Games
Manifold User Retention
Competition
Gold
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Magnus has ~70 ELO to go, Manifold has ~1300 users to go , should be easy for him :P

He's declining and they're growing which helps the NO side a bit

predictedNO

(especially in the worlds where this market resolves at all)

People are also trading

Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?
Will someone break the record for youngest Chess player to reach 2800 FIDE rating by the end of 2028?
64% chance
Will the highest FIDE chess rating in the world be 2900 or greater on Labor Day 2029?
10% chance
How many players will have an FIDE rating of 2800 or higher at the end of 2029?
3.6
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
Who will be the first human grandmaster to have FIDE Standard ELO > 2900
Will the first human to achieve a FIDE chess rating of 3000 be genetically enhanced?
57% chance
At the end of 2029 what will be the highest FIDE rating of a currently active player?
2,835
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2029?
41% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy