How many players will have an FIDE rating of 2800 or higher at the end of 2029?
3
Ṁ300Ṁ5772029
3.5 players
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
0
21%
1
17%
2
19%
3
10%
4
6%
5
6%
6
5%
7
4%
8
3%
9
3%
10 or more
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026?
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
At the end of 2029 what will be the highest FIDE rating of a currently active player?
2,835
Will the highest FIDE chess rating in the world be 2900 or greater on Labor Day 2029?
10% chance
Will someone break the record for youngest Chess player to reach 2800 FIDE rating by the end of 2028?
64% chance
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
89% chance
Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2029?
41% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2028?
49% chance