Coding a bot

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the user's Manifold Markets account shows a cumulative profit of at least 10,000 mana from market trading activity before January 1, 2027. Profit is calculated as total mana earned minus total mana spent on market positions. Resolution will be verified by checking the user's public profile statistics on Manifold Markets at https://manifold.markets/profile, specifically the "Profit" metric displayed on their account page.

Background

Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on binary and multiple-choice outcomes using mana as the internal currency. Users can earn mana through successful predictions, bonuses, and referrals. The user is developing a trading bot to automate market predictions, which could potentially generate consistent returns if the bot's prediction accuracy exceeds market odds.

Considerations

Bot trading on Manifold Markets operates within the platform's terms of service but may face limitations such as rate limiting or account restrictions if activity appears anomalous. The profitability of any bot depends heavily on prediction accuracy relative to market consensus—even small edges compound significantly over many trades, but consistent losses will deplete the account faster than manual trading due to automation speed.

This description was generated by AI.