Will P2P mana loan monthly interest rates be higher at the end of July than they were before the pivot?
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11k
resolved Apr 26
Resolved
N/A

Comparing MONTHLY, PEER TO PEER, mana loan interest rates negotiated privately or publicly.

YES = higher, 50% = about the same, NO = Lower


Resolves YES if at the end of July (~3 months from now) a panel of experts agree that the average rates for 1-month peer to peer loans is greater than or equal to 7%.

If they find it is within 5% and 7%, this market resolves 50%

The panel will consider median interest rate of loans above 5k mana, excluding Manifold staff.

Panel: @Joshua @Bayesian

Requested by @SemioticRivalry @jack

(Fees collected will be put back into subsidizing this market)

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