Will P2P mana loan monthly interest rates be higher at the end of July than they were before the pivot?
resolved Apr 26

Comparing MONTHLY, PEER TO PEER, mana loan interest rates negotiated privately or publicly.

YES = higher, 50% = about the same, NO = Lower

Resolves YES if at the end of July (~3 months from now) a panel of experts agree that the average rates for 1-month peer to peer loans is greater than or equal to 7%.

If they find it is within 5% and 7%, this market resolves 50%

The panel will consider median interest rate of loans above 5k mana, excluding Manifold staff.

Panel: @Joshua @Bayesian

Requested by @SemioticRivalry @jack

(Fees collected will be put back into subsidizing this market)

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