
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
8
100Ṁ8812029
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by @DanHomerick
Open until one happens
Here's a market idea if you want to use it. I searched for an existing market for the topic, but didn't find one. It's a question that the YouTuber Marcus House asked as an outro in this video:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
When will humans set foot on the moon again?
Will the first human landing on Mars take place before the next human landing on the Moon?
3% chance
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
96% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before a human returns to the Moon?
8% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2026?
2% chance
Will a human step on the moon before 2026?
3% chance
Will a human set foot on the moon again via Artemis 3 or another mission before Pi Day 2026? (March 14th)
3% chance
Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
41% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
5% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?
93% chance