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MANIFOLD
Will Hamas still be in power in Gaza on Cinco de Mayo 2026?
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resolved May 12
Resolved
YES

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This is a related market about what Hamas disarmament might look like:

bought Ṁ15 YES

The market Hamas in power May 2025 should be higher than Hamas exists 2030, in my mind
Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030? | Manifold

How are we defining "in power"?