MANIFOLD
Will a Millennium Prize problem be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
59
Ṁ1kṀ32k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Market context
Technology
AI
Technical AI Timelines
OpenAI
Internet
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ349
2Ṁ138
3Ṁ103
4Ṁ102
5Ṁ83

People are also trading

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
20% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
32% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
46% chance
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
84% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
50% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?
70% chance
In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
2033
AI solves Millenium Prize Problem in 2026?
8% chance
Sort by:

To clarify: if a millennium problem is solved, but AI did not significantly contribute to finding the solution, then this resolves no?

@diracdeltafunk i am assuming the author must solve it, must mention they used AI in some way, i wont split hairs over how much

if its just ai editing/proofreading on the final paper, but not contributing toward solving, then i will not count it

@strutheo Thanks!

bought Ṁ5 NO

for a more detailed list, see Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?

reposted

Upgrade to basic

People are also trading

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
20% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
+3% 1d32% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
46% chance
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
84% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
50% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?
70% chance
In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
2033
AI solves Millenium Prize Problem in 2026?
8% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy