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MANIFOLD
Will AI solve another Millennium Prize Problem (besides Navier–Stokes) before September 15, 2027?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ332
2027
70%
chance

Recently, OpenAI has announced that their model solved the "Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness" problem (finite-time blowup, Clay options C and D). Will AI solve one of the remaining five within a year?

The market will be resolved YES if OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind or another AI lab makes a credible announcement that their model has solved a Millennium Prize problem, and publishes the full proof or disproof (in Lean or natural language). Acceptance by the Clay Institute is not required. Partial progress (for example, % of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line in the density sense) does not count.

1) If a Lean proof is published, it is sufficient.

2) If a proof in natural language is published, it needs to be endorsed by at least two recognized experts in the relevant field.

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