Which of these four events will happen first? #4 | Manifold

Which of these four events will happen first? #4

Basic

4

Ṁ40

2027

15%

Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

17%

Noam Chomsky dies

31%

Lego releases another record-breaking set with the most pieces (after World Map)

37%

Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

Market open until one happens

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This is a good market because I thought about it for a while and couldn’t decide which one I wanted to bet on because they’re all so close.

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