🚧What will Manifold's Big Pivot entail? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Plus
234
Ṁ120k
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
YES
change in the mana to USD rate you can buy it for
Resolved
YES
auth / verification of users through cell phones or other means
Resolved
YES
Greater than 5 memes about the pivot posted to the Discord within the first 24 hours of the announcement
Resolved
YES
Greater than 10 memes about the pivot posted to the Discord within the first 24 hours of the announcement
Resolved
YES
pivot is officially announced before may starts
Resolved
YES
Cash Prizes
Resolved
YES
No change to the website domain
Resolved
YES
James explaining what the pivot is.
Resolved
YES
There will be an alternate currency
Resolved
YES
More memes about the pivot posted to the Discord within the 24 hours of the announcement than there are NO holders on this option when it gets closed (including bots)
Resolved
YES
currently active users leave because of the change (publicly and verbally)
Resolved
YES
mana supply reduced (fees in trading or less bonus mana or something)
Resolved
YES
restriction of Manifold features to users from certain countries
Resolved
YES
Something to earn more money
Resolved
YES
Loans reduced or limited
Resolved
YES
redeemable reward points for trading / making markets / activity
Resolved
YES
8 immolations before the end of may 10th at midnight Pacific time
Resolved
YES
Something to increase the number of daily visitors (can be Intended to work and not succeed)
Resolved
YES
remove manifold subsidy from markets that are created
Resolved
YES
Removing ability to cash out mana for charity through manifold directly

In Austin's farewell post:

James, Stephen, and the rest of the team have a big pivot in store; it seems like a great bet, but not something that I personally feel drawn towards enacting. And so, now feels like a good time to step out.

James made a response:

Manifold may indeed have been trapped in a local maxima, but not for long! We always have another fresh idea, another trick up our sleeves. The latest secret project for Manifold will be big.

/strutheo/will-manifolds-big-pivot-be-announc-523737967640

/strutheo/what-will-be-true-about-spice-the-n

/strutheo/one-year-after-the-pivot-will-over

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any word on poll @Noit @NoitUK ?

@strutheo Will get it up tomorrow or the day after, I’ve spent all my mana today.

@Noit take your time no rush i understand </3

@mods can we confirm this policy for resolution?

@Marnix when were you planning on the poll?

@strutheo oh, it's been running since the pivot announcement. It's sent to end a month after the announcement (2 days from now)

@Marnix It resolves NO.

8 immolations before the end of may 10th at midnight Pacific time

7 now

remove manifold subsidy from markets that are created

I know that most of these are waiting for the pivot itself to launch to confirm the details, but this already happened on May 1st—there's no more liquidity subsidies.

bought Ṁ150 remove manifold subs... YES

forgot to tag oops @strutheo

...Is it just me or is anyone else mainly getting bitcoin markets in their feed now? Wow, the pivot has already ruined Manifold. :P

@Najawin the feed is giving a lot of new stuff but also bitcoin yeah. overall better than before at least! theyll keep tweaking the algorithm, i think they said it would show things based on your txn fees as an indicator of interest in topics

@Najawin learning how to block topics has improved my life a thousand times

@strutheo I have never once bet on a bitcoin market. And yeah @Odoacre, I keep telling it not interested, but since I plan on leaving soon if the pivot still happens I don't feel like actually blocking things. Just really weird?

@Najawin you can always unblock it if you feel you need more bitcoin in your life 😂

This is true at the moment (see my comment below for the market)

currently active users leave because of the change (publicly and verbally)

And furthermore

Removing ability to cash out mana for charity through manifold directly

.

bought Ṁ150 Answer #32ea80c9c74a YES

Conditionals are a type of market that will no longer be permitted.

@Panfilo hmm i read this as 'about certain issues' as in war/death/etc

but i also get your interpretation here, since it says 'certain scenarios'

might na or ask a mod

this might need to be NAed - they specifically say its not real money betting, but people are referring to it as shorthand...

@strutheo It's real money betting in spirit, if not in legal terms.

@strutheo Don't be a coward, resolve it YES

A legal fiction so thin it might as well not be there.

@strutheo I am NO on this, and at first I thought it wasn't real-money betting, but now, I think I was wrong and it is.

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