Manifold Big Pivot: Conditional on at least one user publicly quits within 3 days of reveal, what will be true?
16
183
Ṁ339Ṁ625
Jun 11
1D
1W
1M
ALL
94%
A market will be opened betting on the timeframe of their return
67%
They will be in Diamond league in month of reveal
66%
They will show up at Manifest anyway
54%
They will have a position in this market on day of reveal
50%
They will N/A all their open markets
50%
They will be in Masters league in the month of reveal
37%
They will reference the words “radical transparency” in their leaving announcement
34%
They accuse another Manifold user of being a "janny" or "powerjanny" in their leaving announcement
34%
They will reference the word "rationalussy" in their leaving announcement
Add your own. Close date pushed out so that answer “They show up at Manifest anyway” can resolve.
Added clarification: they have to stay inactive on Manifold at least 3 days after quit.
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@TimothyJohnson5c16 They have to stay inactive at least 3 days, which most people who are so addicted to Manifold as to try to game this market won’t be able to do.
If someone does quit in a way that resolves one of the options in their own favor, then returns after 73 hours to collect the mana, I guess we’ll have to publicly shame them and call in the mods.
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