🍾What will happen in January 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
1.1K
26K
130K
resolved Feb 1
Month starts
Jan 1
Jan 7th
Jan 7
Jan 14th
Jan 14
jan 21
Jan 21
jan 28
Jan 28
Resolved
YES
Public Celebrity Sex Scandal
Resolved
YES
Large Tech company announces layoffs
Resolved
NO
Another Texas power grid failure
Resolved
NO
BTC Drops below $30k USD
Resolved
NO
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
Resolved
NO
Trump attends a GOP debate
Resolved
YES
Trump wins a primary and/or caucus
Resolved
YES
Major news site issues a big apology or correction
Resolved
YES
Nor’Easter
Resolved
NO
MIT President resigns
Resolved
NO
President Biden is impeached
Resolved
NO
US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
Resolved
NO
ChatGPT 4.5 is released
Resolved
YES
Michigan OR Alabama wins the CFP National Championship
Resolved
YES
Carlos Alcaraz AND/OR Aryna Sabalenka become a 2024 Australian Open Champion.
Resolved
YES
Sally Kornbluth AND/OR Claudine Gay resign or get fired.
Resolved
YES
There will be an earthquake anywhere on earth measuring 6.8 or above on the moment magnitude scale.
Resolved
YES
Any USA State Governor declares a State of Emergency (must be a new SOE declared in Jan)
Resolved
NO
Sam Altman gets fired as CEO of OpenAI
Resolved
NO
The total 7.8 km length of the Rideau Canal Skateway, the world's largest skating rink, will be open for at least 3 days.

📋GUIDELINES (incomplete)

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

  • Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few

🔎Specific Rules

  • Crypto and Stock prices will be determined by Google

  • Celebrity status is determined by Manifold if I think it is unclear. At the end of the month, a poll will be run to determine the resolution of those questions.

❌INCORRECT RESOLUTIONS:

  • Detroit Pistons Won a Game (Was Mistake - NOW CORRECT!)

/strutheo/will-the-detroit-pistons-actually-w

Get Ṁ200 play money

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did you still need to reresolve anything on this

@jacksonpolack nope all set i believe!

I know it's too late, but I just noticed that it's now showing a post from January 31st, so this maybe should have resolved yes?

https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/?id=chris-larsen-xrp-theft

@houstonEuler it was backdated , it was not there at end of month

@strutheo Thanks. I think I won my league because of this question, just wanted to make sure it wasn't a false victory.

Sean Evans Thank You GIF by First We Feast

@shankypanky no way this was on the website jan 31st though, i think it was back dated?

@strutheo article about blockchain falsifies the publish date? lol

247 answers , a new world record. Ty for playing ! On to February.

Damn I'm actually kinda surprised Ord wasn't seen in a restaurant or something even once

🤖

@strutheo your random number is: 9

Salt: 2IBoQjsNo8EaEYlL295l, round: 3712333 (signature b8e358511336c38daf57da575dbf55ff5fc1376171174cd1c45ce05efaab62a99d10ed674efd80c82e258b9aea616fed0e10897c5bb6154fb1f492c518284a48e3d7e494fe3c6fa75e7e2d0e1b762de500f7a635deff8c6082a006685dbbcc41)

watching this live was so nerve-wracking (it took like a minute)

🤖

@strutheo you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 3712331 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 3712333, salt: 2IBoQjsNo8EaEYlL295l.

@FairlyRandom oh. I thought you were actually going to roll a real die.

@TiredCliche I was but I am traveling so no d20 on me today

😭

boughtṀ1Answer #1d0ec29a855b YES

Looks like a yes for This contract's last trade will be on YES which is against its 43% prediction so
in the last 6h of this market, will anything resolve against its predicted percent (ignoring NA)
also looks to be a yes

Just 160

Only 283

resolves NO

resolves NO