Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
15
Ṁ625Ṁ791
Oct 31
92%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
90%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
66%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
59%
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
59%
Kayne West (Ye) have a mental breakdown on X
50%
trump leaves usa at least once
50%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
50%
Putin strikes on a new front (acknowledged)
46%
Member of U.S Congress resigns, dies, or is removed from office
41%
starship launch
37%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
34%
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
34%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
29%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
25%
A treasure from The Secret is found (12treasures.com)
24%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
17%
china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 5 deaths
17%
usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon
17%
usa bombs or missle strikes syria
15%
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

need liquidity 😭 whales 🙏