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MANIFOLD
🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
377
Ṁ6.1kṀ70k
2028
15%
all time high unemployment reached
15%
Announce he’s running for a third term
14%
Attack a NATO ally.
82%
Stays alive
2%
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
7%
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
21%
Withdraw from NATO
18%
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
43%
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
67%
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
42%
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
20%
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
12%
Postpone the elections due to emergency
15%
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
19%
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
9%
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
5%
Call for the end of the House of Reps
53%
resume buying oil from Russia
14%
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
15%
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence

They can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on

In the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough

Will make a poll for individual options if unsure

  • Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not.

  • Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count.

    • Any aggressive long-range attack that destroys or injures something inside Mexico counts (e.g., airstrikes, bombs, missile or drone strikes).

  • Update 2025-08-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "coin or bill with his image" option: only circulating currency counts (coins/bills intended for general circulation by the government). Commemorative/non-circulating issues do not count; laws authorizing only commemoratives also do not count.

  • Update 2025-08-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the option 'request and successfully redraw 1/2 or more state districts':

    • "1/2 or more" refers to the number of states, not the number of individual districts.

  • Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "order the arrest of a governor by name" option: statements like a governor "should be" arrested do not count. It must be a clear, explicit order/command to arrest a named governor.

Market context
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bought Ṁ10 NO

@BenM

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/15/us/politics/tina-peters-colorado-trump-polis.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

In an interview at the Colorado State Capitol, the governor said his commutation was not an attempt to placate Mr. Trump, who has leveled a barrage of funding cuts and policy attacks at Colorado in a hostile effort to free Ms. Peters.

sold Ṁ10 NO

@BenM though I'd probably let some reporting on real reasons play out before resolving

any i missed resolving so far?

bought Ṁ250 YES

@TheAllMemeingEye see the red line he had to cross to get out of Marine One on the way to the WEF

@NivlacM could you share a clip?

@TheAllMemeingEye give me my Mana!

@NivlacM It's hard to tell, it looks like the door might have been outside the circle

@NivlacM hmmm, do you know where we can find the pics/footage taken by this guy? he seems to have a better angle

@NivlacM

give me my Mana!

You'll get your mana when you prove it met the damn criteria!

@TheAllMemeingEye see 1:10:56 here

https://www.youtube.com/live/ocMnTSYWpg0?si=sFHg_PhSaZP07l-4

You can see him step out of the helicopter in the circle

@NivlacM https://www.whitehouse.gov/videos/president-donald-j-trump-lands-in-davos/

This shows how the helicopter is obviously within the circle

@NivlacM hmm, ok it might qualify, there wasn't a clear view of the crossing but it seems that it must have happened

bought Ṁ10 NO

@JonathanSheehy earth day 1970 was 20 million people in a one day demonstration. So this requires 10 protests of over 20 million people.

@DavidFWatson woah how'd they manage that

@JonathanSheehy people were really into environmentalism, it lead to the creation of the EPA

@DavidFWatson Damn, well, maybe we'll have to settle for 9/10 lol

reposted

ice killed a civilian

Trump sides with Putin because he has compromising information?

https://www.instagram.com/p/DRQYtlujnzZ/?img_index=3&igsh=MXVnaGxpZ2QyOWthbw==

bought Ṁ100 YES

"Call someone retarded..." i think should resolve YES due to social media post related to Walz

boughtṀ100 NO

@realDonaldTrump please dont ban 6 7 🙏

@121 i'll think about it