In which country's territory will the next nuclear explosion of any type occur?
12
Ṁ200Ṁ2542027
6%
United States
11%
Russia
5%
Ukraine
9%
Iran
9%
China
18%
Kazakhstan
21%
North Korea
21%
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the next nuclear explosion, which includes nuclear tests.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?
50% chance
What will be the next country to come into possession of their own nuclear weapon?
In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?
When will the next attack by a nuclear weapon take place?
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
The next country to be nuked:
Next US nuclear test occurs on US soil?
33% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
11% chance
Which actor will be the next to detonate a nuclear weapon offensively?