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MANIFOLD
In what year will a human complete an official, verified marathon in under two hours?
30
Ṁ1kṀ12k
resolved Apr 28
100%99.0%
2026
0.2%
2024
0.2%
2025
0.1%
2027
0.1%
2028
0.1%
2029
0.3%
2030 or later

Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eliud_Kipchoge
In 2019 Eliud Kipchoge became the first human to run a marathon distance in under two hours, achieving 1:59:40.2 during a highly modified event. Due to the presence of pacemaker runners, delivery of hydration by bicycle, and the lack of open competition, it is not considered an official marathon record.

Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelvin_Kiptum
In Oct 2023 Kelvin Kiptum became the only human to ever break two hours and one minute (2:01:00) in an official marathon competition. He is the current world record holder.

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At least one year sooner than I would have expected.

reposted

bump

reposted

bump since kiptum has died and this might update

For arbitrage