
In what year will a human complete an official, verified marathon in under two hours?
22
1kṀ38672030
1%
2024
36%
2025
16%
2026
6%
2027
5%
2028
5%
2029
30%
2030 or later
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eliud_Kipchoge
In 2019 Eliud Kipchoge became the first human to run a marathon distance in under two hours, achieving 1:59:40.2 during a highly modified event. Due to the presence of pacemaker runners, delivery of hydration by bicycle, and the lack of open competition, it is not considered an official marathon record.
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelvin_Kiptum
In Oct 2023 Kelvin Kiptum became the only human to ever break two hours and one minute (2:01:00) in an official marathon competition. He is the current world record holder.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
When will a human first go sub 2 hours in an offical marathon?
Who will be the first human to run an official marathon in under two hours?
When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?
2027
Who will break 2:00 in the marathon?
Will a legal sub two-hour marathon be run before December 31, 2025.
47% chance
Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours
27% chance
Will I run a ultramarathon by 2025?
68% chance
Will I run a marathon in 2024?
5% chance
Will I run a full marathon in 2024?
5% chance
Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030
55% chance