If Trump is elected, will he release the 'Epstein Files' by the end of his term?
If Trump is elected, will he release the 'Epstein Files' by the end of his term?
17
100Ṁ841
2029
94%
chance

he mentioned he'd do this (or consider it) on the lex fridman interview. resolves yes if he resolves at least partial amounts of the sealed epstein files

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nothing that has been released so far was previously unreleased

1mo

@TiredCliche The press release states: "The first phase of declassified files largely contains documents that have been previously leaked but never released in a formal capacity by the U.S. Government." Assuming that is accurate (and I haven't seen anyone dispute it), it meets the resolution criteria stated in the market description.

@LeifKBrooks My brother in Christ, I do not care about such technicalities.

@LeifKBrooks Also, I will dispute: none of those files were ever classified, given that they were, you know, news reports that have already been released public ally.

1mo

@TiredCliche My brother in Christ, I do not care about what you care about. I care about the market resolving according to its explicitly and clearly stated criteria. Also:

@LeifKBrooks I never said anything about the market resolution should be. I'm just stating true facts.

What is this thing you're citing? If it's a chatbot, that explains why it's wrong.

None of the documents were ever marked as classified. Therefore, the documents weren't classified. "Sealed" is not the same thing as "classified".

1mo

@LeifKBrooks uhh yeah im gonna wait on this one lol, nobody trusts this first batch and its all old news

1mo

@strutheo Market description states: "resolves yes if he resolves at least partial amounts of the sealed epstein files". Files that had been sealed were officially released; it's irrelevant if they were already publicly available by virtue of unofficial leaks. The distrust you mentioned is about whether a good faith effort is being made to release all possible files, but that's also irrelevant to whether or not a partial release was made, which it was.

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