MANIFOLD
Which films will be nominated for an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards (2026)?
32
Ṁ1.2kṀ13k
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES
Frankenstein
Resolved
YES
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Resolved
YES
Bugonia
Resolved
YES
The Lost Bus
Resolved
YES
Marty Supreme
Resolved
YES
Sinners
Resolved
YES
The Smashing Machine
Resolved
YES
Hamnet
Resolved
YES
One Battle After Another
Resolved
YES
Sentimental Value
Resolved
YES
It Was Just an Accident
Resolved
YES
Weapons
Resolved
YES
Train Dreams
Resolved
YES
Zootopia 2
Resolved
YES
The Secret Agent
Resolved
YES
Blue Moon
Resolved
YES
Song Sung Blue
Resolved
YES
KPop Demon Hunters
Resolved
YES
Arco
Resolved
YES
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

The 98th Academy Awards will honor films released in 2025.

Each answer will resolve independently.
"No" if the film is not released in 2025 or is released but ineligible for Academy consideration.
For films that are retitled before release, the market will track the film under both its original and new title. If a film is substantially reworked and released under a different name, it will still be considered the same film for resolution purposes.

  • Update 2025-10-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves Yes if the film receives at least one Oscar nomination in any category, including acting (e.g., Best Supporting Actor); not limited to Best Picture.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ331
2Ṁ254
3Ṁ204
4Ṁ125
5Ṁ82
Sort by:

@Brierbr The Battle of Baktan Cross resolution needs to change to YES! It is the original title for One Battle After Another and the criteria state:

For films that are retitled before release, the market will track the film under both its original and new title. If a film is substantially reworked and released under a different name, it will still be considered the same film for resolution purposes.

@ShawnReynolds My mystake! Unfortunately I can't undone it, so I've sent mana to all YES holders.

@Brierbr I can UNRESOLVE if you’d like ( it it’s fine either way)

@Ziddletwix You don't need to. Already send the mana to them. If something like this happen in the future I may ask for help. Thanks!

bought Ṁ5 YES

Needs liquidity!

Please add:

Zootopia 2

F1

Highest 2 Lowest

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Die, My Love

Nouvelle Vague

Sentimental Value

It Was Just an Accident

Sound of Falling

The Secret Agent

Does it only matter whether the film itself is nominated for "Best Picture" or would it also resolve "Yes" if it's nominated for "Best Supporting Actor"?

bought Ṁ6 NO

@Scipio11 It also resolve "Yes" if it's nominated for "Best Supporting Actor".

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy