🆒CoolFold 25 Challenge: What will these 25 values be at EOY 2025?
52
3.5kṀ5150
Jan 1
88%
Bitcoin value (eg 50K would be 50%)
14%
Number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic hurricane season
36%
Last 2 digits of Minecraft Bedrock's most recent patch (eg 1.50.30 would be 30%)
60%
Highest Number of Home Runs hit by a single player in 2025 MLB season
51%
Latest ChatGPT version number released (eg 6.5 would be 65%)
48%
How many new shows on Broadway in 2025
15%
Jersey number of the Heisman trophy winner
6%
Jersey number of the NBA rookie of the year
21%
How many SpaceX Launches in Dec of 2025
67%
How many total videos on Joseph Anderson's Youtube Channel
56%
How many countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic
9%
Number of trillion dollar companies
53%
Number of Republican Senators
90%
Doomsday Clock seconds to midnight
30%
How many US states have legalized recreational marijuana
88%
Largest earthquake in 2025 (eg 7.5 would be 75%)
22%
Manifold's average MAU (eg 25k would be 25%)
17%
Number of anime profile pics in Manifold's top 100 traders
55%
How many nuclear power plants operating in the USA

README: Answers will resolve as they happen or EOY 2025 to the percentage that matches the given value. If the value is greater than 100, it will resolve 100%.

Examples:

  • If there are 60 Republican senators at EOY 2025, it will resolve 60%

  • If the Doomsday Clock is at 120 seconds to midnight, it will resolve 100%

  • If the Chat GPT version number is 7.5, it will resolve 75%

  • Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Minecraft Bedrock patch numbers, if the last patch is in format X.Y.ZZZ (e.g., 1.21.129), the resolution will be based on the last 2 digits only (e.g., 29% for 1.21.129), not the full final number segment.

  • Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For "Average of the Jersey numbers of the Cy Young award winner": The answer will resolve to the average of both the American League and National League Cy Young award winners' jersey numbers (since there are two Cy Young awards given out).

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@strutheo if the last patch is 1.21.129 does that resolve 100% or 13% or 12%?

@ChristopherRandles 29

@strutheo American or National League?

i learned this year there are two lol

bought Ṁ10 NO

(its 29 and 30 we lucked out )

reposted

few more months to go!

few more months to go!

bought Ṁ30 NO

bump

bought Ṁ28 NO

@121 60 seconds trust

bought Ṁ472 YES

@strutheo Trump has signed over 100 executive orders in his second term, so I think this can resolve YES: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_executive_orders_in_the_second_presidency_of_Donald_Trump

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 41% order

@strutheo The Super Bowl questions can be resolved.

reposted

upgraded to basic

reposted

bump

reposted

715 days left on the COOLFOLD 25 CHALLENGE

Top 100 profile pics as of start of 2024 (some are gifs and only show first frame)

imgur version - https://imgur.com/a/poG5ube

Where can we see the current top 100?

Do these users count as having an anime pfp?
https://manifold.markets/PunishedFurry
https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere

@Tumbles this one is going to be judged by me at the time to the best of my abilities.

ill count both those as anime
EDIT: no longer sure

and i was hoping there would be a good way to see this. anyone know of a hidden page somewhere?

@strutheo any ideas from the veterans @Joshua @Gen @IsaacKing @firstuserhere (etc tag yourself)

@strutheo You want the 100 traders with the highest lifetime profit? That's easy to get from the API.

@IsaacKing sure can someone post the current 100 profile pics, any format will do. and then ill ask a kind soul to do the same EOY 2025 , ty

@Tumbles reconsidering both those, might just post polls at the end to determine ones we're unsure about 'is this an anime profile pic'

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