Most training run compute greater than 2e27 FLOP by EOY 2026?
4
1kṀ2111
2026
91%
chance

see https://epoch.ai/trends#compute. At market creation, the most recent update put grok 3 at 5e26 FLOP.

This market will resolve to epoch's estimate if it is available at time of market close. If unavailable, the most sensible estimate at that time will be used.

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