In what year will ten items on the CoolFold 100 Challenge have happened ?
6
175Ṁ455
2027
0.5%
2024
17%
2025
43%
2026
31%
2027
3%
2028
2%
2029
2%
Other

See: /strutheo/coolfold-100-challenge-which-of-the

  • Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the year when 10 or more items on the CoolFold 100 Challenge list have happened.

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A few title quibbles:

Does it need to be exactly 10, or just 10 or greater? (Eg if multiple happen at once and skip 10 proper)

This is somewhat clarified by the fact that this is dependent multiple choice, but you might also want to note that this market seemingly only applies to the first year in which this happens (unless markets really think that a lot of these events are somehow going to undo themselves)

@GleamingRhino 10 or more

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