In what year will ten items on the CoolFold 100 Challenge have happened ?
7
175Ṁ7682027
0.4%
2024
1%
2025
79%
2026
13%
2027
3%
2028
1.9%
2029
1.9%
See: /strutheo/coolfold-100-challenge-which-of-the
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the year when 10 or more items on the CoolFold 100 Challenge list have happened.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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A few title quibbles:
Does it need to be exactly 10, or just 10 or greater? (Eg if multiple happen at once and skip 10 proper)
This is somewhat clarified by the fact that this is dependent multiple choice, but you might also want to note that this market seemingly only applies to the first year in which this happens (unless markets really think that a lot of these events are somehow going to undo themselves)