Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?

2kṀ8737

Aug 1

42%

King Charles

28%

Joe Biden

Other

Donald Trump

Michael Schumacher

Keith Richards

Dan Quayle

Prince Edward

1.9%

Bill Clinton

1.5%

Dick van Dyke

1.1%

Chuck Norris

Noam Chomsky

Determined by combination of data and/or poll if need be when the time comes

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What will be announced as Jimmy Carter 's cause of death?

Will Jimmy Carter be skeletonized within a year after his death

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Will any Manifold users bet mana gained from a death market, they caused to resolve, on a prize point market?

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Who will be the next President to die?

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Guys please I can’t handle a Joe Biden death countdown right now 😔

RIP 😭😭

reposted

RIP jimmy - who is next?

reposted

upgraded to basic

noam had a bump in popularity but not might make it 6mo after

Jimmy now in first place, unless you count. “Other.” Still undervalued!

Given the lack of a "none" option, I guess it doesn't have to be anywhere near as big as Jimmy Carter, just bigger than all other ones on the list, right?

@ArmandodiMatteo yes

Giant death market

wht does the expert think @JCDM

"Will Taylor Swift's private jet crash before Hanukkah?"

bought Ṁ175 NO

@JCDM I'll rush to create TSPJCM account before you do

People are also trading

What will be announced as Jimmy Carter 's cause of death?

Will Jimmy Carter be skeletonized within a year after his death

27% chance

Will any Manifold users bet mana gained from a death market, they caused to resolve, on a prize point market?

1% chance

Who will be the next President to die?

People are also trading

People are also trading

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