Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?
88
2.1kṀ34k
resolved Jul 9
100%97%
Joe Biden
0.0%
David Lynch
0.0%
Dick Cheney
0.0%
Noam Chomsky
0.0%
Dick van Dyke
0.0%
Gene Hackman
0.2%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Taylor Swift
0.2%
King Charles
0.0%
Mitch McConnell
0.0%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.0%
George W. Bush
0.0%
John Cleese
0.0%
Bernie Sanders
0.2%
Keith Richards
0.1%
Chuck Norris
0.1%
Alexey Guzey
0.0%
Pope Francis
0.1%
Bill Clinton

Determined by combination of data and/or poll if need be when the time comes

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Jimmy Carter Daily
Jimmy Carter
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@strutheo over 6 months gone, this seems to be the top 'death market' on the site. Resolves Joe Biden?

bought Ṁ150 NO

Six months after Carter's death was 10 days ago

bought Ṁ150 NO

@ArmandodiMatteo Ugh, please no John Paul I situation

bought Ṁ10 YES

Guys please I can’t handle a Joe Biden death countdown right now 😔

@NeoMalthusian well damn 😭

RIP 😭😭

reposted

RIP jimmy - who is next?

@strutheo biden

reposted

upgraded to basic

noam had a bump in popularity but not might make it 6mo after

Jimmy now in first place, unless you count. “Other.” Still undervalued!

Given the lack of a "none" option, I guess it doesn't have to be anywhere near as big as Jimmy Carter, just bigger than all other ones on the list, right?

@ArmandodiMatteo yes

Giant death market

wht does the expert think @JCDM

"Will Taylor Swift's private jet crash before Hanukkah?"

bought Ṁ175 NO

@JCDM I'll rush to create TSPJCM account before you do

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