
Will SpaceX be the cheapest ($ / kg) commercial provider to LEO on 2035-01-01
3
Ṁ1kṀ9482035
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Payload cost per kg to Low Earth Orbit in 2040
101
Will a commercial spaceflight be purchasable for less than $25,000 by the end of 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a rocket with a payload to LEO of at least 500 Mg before 2035?
10% chance
Price of the cheapest space flight ticket at the end of 2030
Will SpaceX be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?
45% chance
Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?
12% chance
Will SpaceX reach $3T?
68% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
2% chance
Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
73% chance
Will Blue Origin ever be worth more than SpaceX before 2040?
29% chance