Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027?
8
Ṁ1kṀ9472027
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Presumably that is as an internal customer, including things like Starlinks but not other people's payloads flying on SpaceX launch.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
72% chance
Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027?
89% chance
Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Amazon at the end of 2026?
39% chance
Will SpaceX IPA by the end of 2026?
13% chance
Will SpaceX will do orbital refilling several times in 2026 with Starship V3?
6% chance
what will SpaceX's revenue be for FY 2027?
Will SpaceX be the cheapest ($ / kg) commercial provider to LEO on 2035-01-01
70% chance
Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?
12% chance
Will SpaceX launch a non-SpaceX payload on Starship before 2030?
78% chance
How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?