
Payload cost per kg to Low Earth Orbit in 2040
3
290Ṁ722041
101
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
USD. resolution source is the table of cost per kg here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_launch_market_competition
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JonathanRay 2040 dollars? If so this is as much about predicting inflation as it is about predicting launch costs.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX be the cheapest ($ / kg) commercial provider to LEO on 2035-01-01
79% chance
Price of the cheapest space flight ticket at the end of 2030
Will a commercial spaceflight be purchasable for less than $25,000 by the end of 2030?
32% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?
26% chance
Will there be a rocket with a payload to LEO of at least 500 Mg before 2035?
10% chance
Will longshot space deliver 100t to LEO until 2050?
15% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?
42% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?
59% chance
Will more than 11k objects be launched into space in 2025?
4% chance
Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2040?
81% chance